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Wind SeiryuuTier 1

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decks
2 (20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8 5-3-0
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.2% avg ELO -2.3 per match
expected value
53.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1327 · median 1327 · range 1120–1533 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
994 Q1 1144 Q3 1506 1535
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 20.0% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 39.4% -6.8
Fire Exia 10.0% 0
Fire Kongming 10.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.8% +14.1
Fire Tera Diao Chan 10.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.4% +2.3
Water Dawn of Ashes 10.0% 0
Water Genbu 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.6% -10.2
Wind Shadowstrike 10.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.8% +2.8
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand +1.00 1 0 0
Reclaim +1.00 1 0 0
Aesan Protector -1.00 0 1 0
Staggering Strike -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Grand Crusader's Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Sunblessed Gazelle +1.00 1 0 0
Winbless Kiteshield +1.00 1 0 0
Beseech the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Beastbond Boots +1.00 1 0 0
Winds of Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Trained Hawk -1.00 0 1 0
Bestial Frenzy +1.00 1 0 0
Verdigris Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Quicksilver Grail +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Mirror -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 1 0
Censer of Restful Peace -1.00 0 1 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/24358/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu